A Solution to the Ecological Inference Problem: - download pdf or read online

By Gary King

This booklet presents an answer to the ecological inference challenge, which has plagued clients of statistical equipment for over seventy-five years: How can researchers reliably infer individual-level habit from mixture (ecological) facts? In political technology, this question arises whilst individual-level surveys are unavailable (for example, neighborhood or comparative electoral politics), unreliable (racial politics), inadequate (political geography), or infeasible (political history). This ecological inference challenge additionally confronts researchers in several components of significant value in public coverage, and different educational disciplines, starting from epidemiology and advertising to sociology and quantitative background. even though many have tried to make such cross-level inferences, students agree that every one current tools yield very erroneous conclusions in regards to the global. during this quantity, Gary King lays out a unique--and reliable--solution to this venerable problem.

King starts with a qualitative evaluation, readable even through these and not using a statistical historical past. He then unifies the it seems that varied findings within the methodological literature, in order that just one aggregation challenge continues to be solved. He then offers his resolution, in addition to empirical reviews of the answer that come with over 16,000 comparisons of his estimates from actual mixture info to the identified individual-level solution. the tactic works in practice.

King's option to the ecological inference challenge will let empirical researchers to enquire major questions that experience heretofore proved unanswerable, and circulation ahead fields of inquiry during which development has been stifled through this problem.

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A Solution to the Ecological Inference Problem: Reconstructing Individual Behavior from Aggregate Data by Gary King

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